在碳中和目标和气候影响下,中国的能源-水-陆地系统共同进化
Jiachen Wang1, Yifei Duan2, Hanying Jiang1
1State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Journal of environmental management
|January 15, 2024
概括
由于新能源技术,中国的碳中和目标可能会增加取水量. 多元化负排放技术可以减少水和土地使用冲突,有助于资源规划.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 气候变化政策 气候变化政策
背景情况:
- 中国的2060年碳中和目标需要在能源,水和土地系统中进行重大转变.
- 中国的综合能源-水-陆地系统中的相互作用是复杂的,需要进行明确的审查.
研究的目的:
- 在各种碳中和情景和气候变化影响下模拟中国能源-水-土地系统的共同演变.
- 分析脱碳战略产生的资源影响和潜在冲突.
主要方法:
- 利用综合评估框架来建模能源-水-土地系统的动态.
- 模拟了考虑气候影响的替代碳中和途径.
主要成果:
- 过渡到净零排放鼓励从化石燃料转移,但增加了由于核,生物能源和碳捕获和储存 (CCS) 发电厂的总取水量.
- 直接捕获空气 (DAC) 技术可以减轻与植树和生物能源相关的水压力和土地使用冲突.
- 中国西北和东北面临越来越多的取水问题,而波海边缘和沿海地区面临着激烈的土地竞争.
结论:
- 协调资源规划对于管理脱碳化和资源安全之间的权衡至关重要.
- 多元化负排放技术对于减轻潜在的水和土地限制至关重要.
- 综合评估框架为中国及其他地区的政策评估和资源管理提供了有价值的工具.
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