朝鲜的COVID-19政策困境:疫情预防与贸易冲突
1HRD Center and Department of Economics of SKKU, Sungkyunkwan University, 25-2, Sungkyunkwan-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03063, Korea.
Globalization and health
|January 16, 2024
概括
在COVID-19关闭边境期间,朝鲜优先考虑公共卫生,将贸易重向俄罗斯,并增加必需品进口. 长期的经济压力可能需要放宽限制.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 国际贸易 国际贸易 国际贸易
- 经济政策 经济政策
背景情况:
- 由于COVID-19的流行,需要平衡经济活动和公共卫生.
- 严重依赖中国和俄罗斯贸易的朝鲜,因边境关闭而面临越来越多的担忧.
- 关闭边境对朝鲜与主要伙伴的贸易动态产生了重大影响.
研究的目的:
- 检查朝鲜在COVID-19大流行期间对经济活动和公共卫生的双重要求的反应.
- 审查关闭边境对朝鲜与中国和俄罗斯的贸易的影响.
- 分析边境关闭前和后朝鲜经济活动的转变.
主要方法:
- 使用差异差异 (DID) 方法分析经济活动变化.
- 分析了2019年和2020年的贸易数据.
- 整合了2019年和2020年的夜间卫星图像.
主要成果:
- 朝鲜重新定位了贸易优先事项,有利于俄罗斯.
- 疫情预防优先于经济问题.
- 食品和药品的进口大幅增加,这表明基本商品流入量有所增加.
结论:
- 早期的COVID-19流行病反应表明,朝鲜强调公共卫生.
- 持续的经济困难和粮食短缺可能最终导致边境关闭的缓解.
- 该研究强调了政策转变的潜力,以应对长期的经济挑战.
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