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1985年至2022年格陵兰冰盖分娩的普遍加速
Chad A Greene1, Alex S Gardner2, Michael Wood3
1Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA. cgreene@jpl.nasa.gov.
Nature
|January 17, 2024
概括
格陵兰岛
科学领域:
- 冰川学
- 气候科学
- 地球系统科学
背景情况:
- 格陵兰的冰川正在稀疏和退缩,
- 产卵前线的退缩对冰盖质量平衡和全球气候产生了重大影响.
- 了解终点变化对于准确的气候变化影响评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化分娩前线退缩对格陵兰冰盖质量平衡的影响.
- 创建一个高分辨率的,长期的格陵兰冰盖范围的数据集.
- 评估当前气候模型中低估的质量损失.
主要方法:
- 手动和人工智能的结合冰川终点观测 (1985-2022年).
- 每月生成一个120米分辨率的冰盖延伸面罩.
- 分析面积和体积损失是由于分娩前部的退缩.
主要成果:
- 自1985年以来,格陵兰的冰盖面积减少了5091平方公里,冰量增加了1034亿.
- 在目前的质量平衡估计中,
- 季节性退缩 (每年193公里2/63亿) 与多十年的退缩相关,表明冰川的敏感性.
结论:
- 在格陵兰的冰层消失中, 产卵前线的退缩是一个被低估的重要因素.
- 季节性终点变化可以预测冰川对长期气候变化的敏感性.
- 精确的质量平衡评估需要结合分娩前部动态.
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