全球恐怖主义组织合作网络的演变
Donghao Cui1, Chaomin Ou1, Xin Lu1
1College of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China.
PloS one
|January 22, 2024
概括
全球恐怖组织越来越多地合作,形成不断扩大的网络. 这些网络具有稳定的核心组织和可变的边缘群体,为反恐战略带来不断变化的挑战.
科学领域:
- 网络科学应用于恐怖主义研究.
- 全球恐怖主义组织合作的分析.
背景情况:
- 恐怖主义组织的合作对全球反恐工作构成了重大挑战.
- 了解合作趋势对于制定有效的反恐措施至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查全球恐怖主义组织合作的趋势和模式.
- 构建和分析恐怖组织的合作进化网络.
主要方法:
- 利用全球恐怖主义数据库和联合国制裁名单来获取数据.
- 构建了恐怖组织的合作进化网络 (2001-2018).
- 通过使用关键节点,凝聚力和动机等特征评估网络演变,包括k-core分解.
主要成果:
- 恐怖主义合作网络正在扩大,每年都有新的组织加入.
- 网络中的核心结构比外围连接具有更大的稳定性.
- 主要的网络图案包括"星" (90%) 和"三位式封闭" (9%),表明聚集的星形社区.
结论:
- 全球恐怖主义合作演变为集群,星形网络与核心-外围结构.
- 稳定的核心组织和可变的边缘群体是这些不断发展的网络的特征.
- 通过网络分析,调查结果为执行和限制恐怖袭击的战略提供了信息.
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