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在印度的气候变化下,预计植被碳封存强度的下降
Vijaykumar Bejagam1, Ashutosh Sharma2, Xiaohua Wei3
1Department of Hydrology, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand 247667, India; Department of Earth, Environmental and Geographic Sciences, The University of British Columbia, Okanagan, Kelowna, BC V1V 1V7, Canada.
The Science of the total environment
|January 22, 2024
概括
印度的热带植被显示,由于二氧化碳施肥,净初级生产率 (NPP) 增加. 然而,核电厂的增长正在放缓,碳汇的强度正在下降,这凸显了减缓气候变化的必要性.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
背景情况:
- 热带植被对全球碳预算和碳封存至关重要.
- 印度观察到净初级生产率 (NPP) 的增加,这是碳捕获的关键指标.
- 在气候变化下,这些碳汇的长期可持续性存在不确定性.
研究的目的:
- 分析二氧化碳受精效应 (CFE) 在印度植被中的核电站的时间模式.
- 调查驱动核电站的反机制,包括CFE和变暖.
- 评估植被碳汇在抵消二氧化碳排放中的强度变化.
主要方法:
- 在SSP585情景下,利用了来自地球系统模型 (ESM) 的碳流量数据.
- 来自生物地化学合 (BGC) 和完全合模型的比较模拟.
- 分析了CFE和变暖对核电站变化的相对贡献.
主要成果:
- 预计到2099年印度NPP的大幅增加,但增长率下降.
- 主要将持续的核电站增长归因于二氧化碳施肥.
- 确定了CFE的贡献下降 (-0.62%每100ppmCO2) 和碳汇强度下降 (每十年-1.15%).
结论:
- 核电站增长率下降与CFE减少有关,可能是由于营养限制和高温.
- 减弱的碳吸收能力需要更多地依赖气候变化缓解战略.
- 了解这些动态对于预测未来的碳预算和为气候政策提供信息至关重要.
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