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政策制定者认为,金钱的动机比实际动机更大
Sebastian Jilke1, Florian Keppeler2,3, John Ternovski4
1Georgetown University, 3700 O St NW, Washington, DC, USA. sebastian.jilke@georgetown.edu.
Scientific reports
|January 22, 2024
概括
财政激励措施可能无法有效地促进像疫苗接种这样的公共产品贡献. 政策制定者高估了激励影响,但现场实验显示没有显著的影响,突出了潜在的陷.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 公共政策 公共政策
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
背景情况:
- 财政激励是鼓励公共产品贡献的共同政策工具.
- 现有的文献表明,金融激励措施可能是无效或反作用的.
- 政策制定者对激励措施有效性的看法可能过于乐观.
研究的目的:
- 评估决策者对金融激励措施有效性的预测是否与经验结果一致.
- 测试特定金融激励对COVID-19疫苗接种率的影响.
- 确定金融激励措施可能失败的条件.
主要方法:
- 对德国地方政府官员进行的预测激励效应调查.
- 德国拉文斯堡的实地实验,测试了对疫苗接种的经济激励.
- 对41548名居民的疫苗接种数据的分析.
主要成果:
- 政策制定者预计由于激励措施,疫苗接种将增加15.3个百分点.
- 实地实验表明,财政激励对疫苗接种率的影响为零.
- 预测和实际的激励影响之间存在重大差异.
结论:
- 财政激励措施可能并不像政策制定者所认为的那样有效,以促进公共产品.
- 了解金融激励措施的局限性和潜在失败至关重要.
- 为有效的公共政策设计,教育决策者了解这些陷至关重要.
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