David A Jenkins1,2, Glen P Martin1, Matthew Sperrin1

  • 1Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.

概括

时间不变的临床预测模型无法解释不断变化的医疗保健趋势. 一个不断更新的贝叶斯逻辑模型在心脏手术数据中显示出优异的预测性能,与时间不变和每年更新的模型相比.