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近期热带气温的降低使大气CO2的温度敏感性和增长率的变化变化
Kai Wang1, Xuhui Wang1, Xiangyi Li1
1College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Global change biology
|January 26, 2024
概括
大气中二氧化碳增长率对热带温度的敏感性最近有所下降. 这是由于温度变化和土地利用的变化,而不是生态系统碳循环反应造成的.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
背景情况:
- 大气二氧化碳增长率 (CGR) 对热带温度年间变化 (TIV) 的敏感性显示,直到21世纪初,其增长率增加了两倍.
- 这种增强表明干旱引起的陆地碳循环的转变加速了全球变暖.
研究的目的:
- 调查CGR对TIV敏感度最近的下降情况.
- 为了确定这种下降背后的驱动因素,检查生态系统碳循环反应和其他因素.
主要方法:
- 对60年来大气二氧化碳观测的分析.
- 使用最先进的动态全球植被模型.
- 评估热带气温变化和土地利用变化的影响.
主要成果:
- 在过去的二十年中,CGR对TIV的敏感性显著下降,回到1960年代的水平.
- 这种下降主要归因于热带气温变化和土地利用变化的空间连贯性下降.
- 雨林恢复力的丧失并没有显著地影响生态系统碳循环的温度敏感性.
结论:
- 最近CGR-TIV灵敏度的下降并不是由生态系统对局部温度波动的碳循环反应驱动的.
- 由于土地利用变化增加和干旱更频繁/更强烈,预计未来生态系统碳循环对温度变化反应的调节.
- 持续监测CGR变化灵敏度和改进的地球系统模型对土地使用变化的表示对于预测碳气候反至关重要.
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