高地森林的退缩落后于大西洋中部海岸的海平面上升
Yaping Chen1, Matthew L Kirwan1
1Virginia Institute of Marine Science, William & Mary, Gloucester Point, Virginia, USA.
Global change biology
|January 26, 2024
概括
沿海森林对海平面上升具有惊人的弹性,在沼泽迁移中出现了数十年的滞后. 幽灵森林的这种阻力表明,目前的模型可能高估了土地转换率.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
背景情况:
- 幽灵森林的特点是沼泽附近的枯树,是气候变化的可见指标.
- 在海平面上升的情况下,沼泽迁移到沿海森林对于沼泽生存至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查低海拔沿海森林的生存情况,尽管相对海平面上升率很高 (RSLRR).
- 分析影响沿海生态系统侧面森林退缩和树林线移动的因素.
主要方法:
- 在美国中大西洋海岸沿线利用了四十年的卫星观测.
- 分析了森林退缩率,地形,海水盐度,RSLRR,气候和干扰之间的相关性.
主要成果:
- 许多沿海森林都在高的RSLRR中存活下来,这与假设即时转换的模型相反.
- 侧面森林撤退主要受到地形和盐度的影响,而不仅仅是RSLRR.
- 沿海树木线的上坡移动速度明显低于RSLRR,这表明多十年的滞后.
结论:
- 沿海生态系统表现出对海平面上升的抵抗力,在RSLRR和土地转换之间存在显著的滞后.
- 预测瞬间土地转型的模型可能会高估未来的变化,并影响温室气体流量估计.
- 历史海平面上升对沿海土地转型的影响尚未完全实现.
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