全球价值链嵌入对中国二氧化碳排放与经济增长脱的影响:基于塔皮奥脱和结构性分解
Jie Zheng1, Sanmang Wu1, Shantong Li2
1School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China; Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resource and Environment, Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing 100083, China.
The Science of the total environment
|January 26, 2024
概括
中国在2000年至2018年期间实现了二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放和经济增长的薄弱脱. 全球价值链 (GVC) 的参与促进了制造业的低碳发展,但贸易便利化和技术是加强脱的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 工业生态学 工业生态学
- 气候变化政策 气候变化政策
背景情况:
- 全球生产碎片化影响国家经济和二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放.
- 中国融入全球价值链 (GVC) 显著影响其经济和环境发展轨迹.
- 了解经济增长与二氧化碳排放之间的关系对于可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化评估二氧化碳排放与中国经济增长之间的脱.
- 分析全球价值链和国内生产对这种脱的影响.
- 通过结构分解分析 (SDA) 识别影响脱的与GVC相关的因素.
主要方法:
- 应用塔皮奥模型来评估脱.
- IO框架将国内和GVC对脱的影响区分开来.
- 结构分解分析 (SDA) 调查与GVC相关的因素.
主要成果:
- 从2000年到2018年,中国在二氧化碳排放和经济增长之间表现出较弱的脱关系.
- 排放强度是脱的关键驱动因素,而最终需求规模阻碍了这一点.
- 2008年以后,GVC的影响从阻碍转向促进脱,特别是有利于劳动密集型和基于知识的制造业.
结论:
- 中国的GVC参与促进了特定制造业的低碳发展.
- 加强贸易便利化和生产技术对于加强GVC在脱方面的积极作用至关重要.
- 为实现可持续的经济和环境成果,建议对工业参与GVC的战略指导.
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