一种复杂的系统健康状态评估方法,对可解释的BRBB进行参考值优化
Qingxi Zhang1, Kangle Li2, Guangling Zhang3
1School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Harbin Normal University, Harbin, 150025, China.
Scientific reports
|January 28, 2024
概括
本研究介绍了一个可解释的信念规则基础 (BRB) 与参考值优化 (I-BRB) 进行准确的复杂系统健康状况评估. I-BRB方法提高了准确性,同时保持了系统维护策略的透明度和可解释性.
科学领域:
- 工程 工程师 工程师 工程师
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 系统科学 系统科学
背景情况:
- 健康状况评估对于复杂的系统维护和安全运行至关重要.
- 现有的信念规则基础 (BRB) 模型提供了可解释性,但受到参数不准确性和优化后透明度降低的影响.
- 准确的评估需要处理不确定性,并保持可解释,可追溯的结果.
研究的目的:
- 为复杂系统健康状况评估提出一个新的可解释的信念规则基础与参考值优化 (I-BRB).
- 为了解决专家提供的参数中的不准确性,并在模型优化过程中保持可解释性.
- 提高健康状况评估模型的准确性和可靠性.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个具有可解释性约束的参考值优化算法,以在不影响知识的情况下完善专家提供的参数.
- 采用预测共变矩阵适应演变策略 (P-CMA-ES) 具有可解释性约束来优化剩余的参数.
- 通过对飞轮系统轴承部件的案例研究验证了I-BRB方法.
主要成果:
- 拟议的I-BRB方法有效地优化了参考值,同时保留了专家知识.
- 使用P-CMA-ES进行参数优化,提高了模型准确度,而不会牺牲可解释性.
- 该案例研究表明,与现有方法相比,I-BRB在健康状况评估中的精度更高.
结论:
- I-BRB方法为复杂的系统健康状况评估提供了强大的和可解释的方法.
- 这种方法提高了准确性并保持了透明度,这对于优化维护策略至关重要.
- I-BRB为可靠的系统监控和诊断提供了一个有前途的解决方案.
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