三甘油的预测值和相对截止值预测了意大利一个大型区域数据库中的心血管结果
Valérie Tikhonoff1, Edoardo Casiglia2, Agostino Virdis3
1Department of Medicine Università degli Studi di Padova Via Giustiniani 8 Padua 35128 Italy.
Journal of the American Heart Association
|January 31, 2024
概括
一项新的研究发现,与心血管事件相关的甘油三 (89 mg/dL) 的预后截止值较低. 这一发现挑战了传统的150mg/dL值,突出了以前未知的风险水平.
科学领域:
- 心血管流行病学心血管流行病学
- 脂质代谢 脂质代谢是什么
- 预防性心脏病学 预防性心脏病学
背景情况:
- 已确立血清甘油三水平升高与心血管事件之间的关联.
- 关于心血管风险开始增加的精确甘油三水平的不确定性.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定甘油三的预后切断值来预测心血管事件.
- 为了比较这种新的切断与大型意大利队列中的传统值.
主要方法:
- 使用接收器运行特征 (ROC) 曲线分析来确定预后切断.
- 采用多变量考克斯回归模型来评估甘油三的截止值作为独立预测指标.
- 对许多心血管风险因素和药物进行了调整.
主要成果:
- 确定了心血管事件的预后切断值89 mg/dL (灵敏度76.6%,特异性34.1%).
- 传统的 (150 mg/dL) 和新的 (89 mg/dL) 截止值都是心血管事件的显著独立预测指标.
- 传统切线的危险比为1.211;新切线的危险比为1.150 .
结论:
- 三甘油的预后切断值较低 (89 mg/dL),与心血管风险增加有关.
- 这一发现表明,与甘油三相关的心血管风险可能始于比以前认为的更低的水平.
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