降低全球氨排放的肥料管理
Peng Xu1,2, Geng Li3,4, Yi Zheng5,6,7
1School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China.
Nature
|January 31, 2024
概括
全球作物生产对大气中的氨 (NH3) 排放有很大影响. 一个新的机器学习模型提供了优化的肥料管理, 以减少38%的NH3并减轻未来气候变化的影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 农业科学
- 大气化学
背景情况:
- 农作物生产是大气氨 (NH3) 的主要来源,影响空气质量,健康和生态系统.
- 由于数据有限,目前的全球NH3排放估计不确定,这阻碍了有效的减排策略.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个精确的机器学习模型,从全球的耕地显而易见的NH3排放因子.
- 通过优化肥料管理量化潜在的NH3减排.
主要方法:
- 编制了一个实地观测数据集来训练机器学习模型.
- 在5-arcmin分辨率下生成作物特定的空间显式NH3排放因子.
- 在气候变化场景下建模了潜在的减排和未来影响.
主要成果:
- 2018年全球大米,小麦和玉米的NH3排放量估计为每年4.3 ± 1.0 Tg,低于之前的估计.
- 优化肥料管理可以在不改变总量的情况下减少38%的NH3排放量 (1.6 ± 0.4 Tg N yr-1).
- 潜在的减少:大米为47%,玉米为27%,小麦为26%.
结论:
- 机器学习为估计和减轻农业NH3排放提供了强大的工具.
- 有针对性的肥料管理是减少NH3污染及其相关风险的关键策略.
- 预计在未来气候变化下NH3排放量将增加,但缓解策略仍然有效.
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