电力负载预测的新前沿:LSV/MOPA模型通过修改的鱼捕食算法进行优化
Guanyu Yan1, Jinyu Wang1, Myo Thwin2,3
1School of Electrical and Information Engineering, Northeast Petroleum University, Daqing, 163318, Heilongjiang, China.
Heliyon
|February 1, 2024
概括
一个新的混合模型,LSV/MOPA,提高了电力负载预测的准确性. 这种先进的技术结合了长短期记忆 (LSTM) 和支持向量回归 (SVR),通过一种新的算法进行了优化,优于现有方法.
科学领域:
- 能源系统 能源系统
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 准确的电荷预测对于高效的能源管理和政策至关重要.
- 电力负载数据的复杂性和动态性质给预测带来了重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种新的混合技术,LSV/MOPA,用于增强电荷预测.
- 评估LSV/MOPA的性能与最先进的方法相比.
主要方法:
- 开发了一种混合模型,结合了长短期记忆 (LSTM) 和支持向量回归 (SVR).
- 使用修改的鱼捕食算法 (MOPA) 优化了混合模型.
- 在韩国四个地区的20年历史电荷数据上应用并验证了LSV/MOPA模型.
主要成果:
- LSV/MOPA模型在所有地区都表现出卓越的表现,实现了最低的平均绝对百分比偏差 (MAPD) 误差.
- 实现了特定的MAPD错误:3.65 (北方),12.8 (南方),8.6 (中部),30.8 (东部).
- 与SVR/FFA,LSTM/BO,LSTM-SVR和CNN-LSTM等基准模型相比,表现出更快的融合和更好的概括能力.
结论:
- LSV/MOPA模型为预测电荷提供了一种高效和优越的方法.
- 该研究强调了LSV/MOPA在各种行业需要准确的预测建模的应用中的潜力.
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