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尼日利亚农民的拖拉机采购和农业绩效:共集成建模技术的证据

E A Alhassan¹, J A Asaleye^2,3, J K Biniyat¹

¹Department of Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering, Landmark University, Omu Aran, Kwara State, Nigeria.

|February 1, 2024

概括

收购拖拉机增加了尼日利亚的农业产量,但对长期就业产生了负面影响. 政策应支持获得信贷和可持续的土地利用,同时管理技术采用.

科学领域:

农业经济学农业经济学
发展研究发展研究研究

背景情况:

尼日利亚的农业部门对于减少贫困至关重要.
获得现代农业机械,如拖拉机,是一个关键问题.

研究的目的:

调查收购拖拉机对尼日利亚农业产量和就业的影响.
通过共同整合建模,分析短期和长期影响.

主要方法:

采用了协同集成建模和错误纠正模型.
利用时间序列分析来评估数据的统计性质 (静止性,整合顺序).
建立的农业产出和就业等式与代理业绩.

主要成果:

收购拖拉机,农业信贷和耕地显著增加了农业产出.
收购拖拉机对农业就业产生长期负面影响.
短期就业受到汇率,降雨量和拖拉机收购的积极影响.

结论:

需要进行政策干预,以加强信贷获取,土地和水资源管理.
战略应该平衡拖拉机技术的采用与减轻就业流失.
建议对可持续农业机械化的进一步研究.

关键词:

农业产出的农业产量.就业就业就业就业就业就业就业就业农业机械农业机械短期和长期的影响力影响.

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