儿童健康和美国儿科子专业劳动力:为未来做计划
Laurel K Leslie1,2, Colin J Orr3, Adam L Turner1
1American Board of Pediatrics, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Pediatrics
|February 1, 2024
概括
美国面临着预计的儿科子专家短缺,需要照顾越来越多的有复杂健康需求的儿童. 这项分析模拟了未来的供应,以解决儿童医疗保健中的这一关键缺口.
科学领域:
- 儿科子专业的劳动力分析.
- 儿童健康服务研究 儿童健康服务研究
- 医疗保健政策 医疗保健政策
背景情况:
- 儿童慢性疾病和精神健康障碍的患病率增加,由健康的社会决定因素加剧.
- 人们越来越担心儿科子专家能够满足当前和未来儿童医疗需求的能力.
- 儿科子专科护理的公认好处,包括与成人提供者相比,改善结果和降低成本.
研究的目的:
- 提供对美国预计的儿科子专业劳动力的严格分析.
- 预测从2020年到2040年在国家和地方一级提供儿科子专家的供应.
- 为儿童医疗保健服务的政策和规划提供信息.
主要方法:
- 开发一个儿科子专业的劳动力模型.
- 预测14个核心儿科子专业的专家供应.
- 使用美国人口普查局儿童人口预测.
主要成果:
- 分析了15个核心儿科子专业的人口,实践和地理差异.
- 从2020年到2040年,对14个子专业的专业供应预测.
- 识别潜在的未来劳动力缺口.
结论:
- 预计的儿科子专业劳动力可能不足以满足日益增长的患有复杂健康状况的儿童人口的需求.
- 了解劳动力人口结构和地理分布对于公平的护理准入至关重要.
- 需要进一步的研究和政策干预,以确保足够的儿科子专科护理融资和可用性.
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