建模艾滋病毒/艾滋病的流行病学复杂性:对基于代理物的模型及其应用进行范围审查
Rodrigo Volmir Anderle1, Robson Bruniera de Oliveira1, Felipe Alves Rubio1
1Institute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.
PloS one
|February 2, 2024
概括
基于代理的模型 (ABM) 可以捕捉艾滋病毒/艾滋病的复杂性,但它们的应用有限. 未来的研究应该专注于纳入社会结构,以获得更有洞察力的结果.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 计算建模计算建模
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 艾滋病流行需要政策解决人口异质性和环境变化.
- 基于代理的模型 (ABM) 提供了一种方法来建模复杂的系统,如艾滋病毒/艾滋病.
- 艾滋病毒/艾滋病的动态涉及结构因素,行为,生物医学方面,以及社会结构中的干预.
研究的目的:
- 使用基于代理的模型 (ABM) 对艾滋病毒/艾滋病应用进行范围审查.
- 突出ABM在模拟HIV/AIDS复杂性的潜力和局限性.
主要方法:
- 在PubMed,Web of Science和Scopus搜索了使用ABM的艾滋病毒/艾滋病研究.
- 应用PRISMA扩展用于范围审查.
- 通过共同引用分析确定了关键文章,并根据目标,人口,地区和ODD协议使用对文献进行了分类.
主要成果:
- 审查了154篇文章,其中11篇被确定为关键论文.
- 大多数研究集中在传播动态 (37/154),与男性发生性关系的男性 (MSM) (41/154),以及美国或南非的人口 (84/154).
- 最近的研究探讨了PrEP干预措施 (17/154) 和种族差异 (12/154).
- 只有6篇论文宣称使用ODD协议,34/154篇没有限制.
结论:
- ABM是一种复杂的工具,用于建模艾滋病毒/艾滋病的复杂性.
- 目前在艾滋病毒/艾滋病领域的ABM应用范围有限,并且通常是个案具体的.
- 未来的进步需要增强的数据和计算能力,以有效地整合社会结构.
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