一个以生物能源为重点的减缓途径与一个以再造林为重点的减缓途径产生了不同的碳储存和气候反应
Yanyan Cheng1, David M Lawrence2, Ming Pan3
1Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, 117576, Singapore.
概括
基于陆地的气候缓解策略,如再造林和生物能源扩张,具有不同的影响. 再造林对碳排放更为有效,但生物能源的扩张可能会带来更冷的全球气候.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 将全球变暖限制在2°C需要立即采取陆地缓解行动.
- 评估了两个主要的陆地缓解场景:生物能源扩张 (SSP226Lu-BIOCROP) 和重新/植林 (SSP126Lu-REFOREST).
研究的目的:
- 评估两种不同的陆地气候缓解途径的生物地球化学和生物地球物理后果.
- 为了比较生物能源扩张的有效性和气候影响与再生/植林战略.
主要方法:
- 两个具有不同土地使用变化的共享社会经济路径 (SSP) 的建模:SSP226Lu-BIOCROP和SSP126Lu-REFOREST.
- 评估辐射强迫,大气二氧化碳的去除,以及全球/区域气候的温度变化.
主要成果:
- 再造林 (SSP126Lu-REFOREST) 是一个比生物能源 (SSP226Lu-BIOCROP, -78621 PgC) 更有效的大气二氧化碳下沉2100 (242483 PgC).
- SSP126Lu-REFOREST导致全球气候比SSP226Lu-BIOCROP相对更温暖.
- SSP226Lu-BIOCROP在中非和东南亚等热带地区加剧了区域变暖,尽管全球冷却效应.
结论:
- 战略性土地利用规划对于选择最佳区域进行再造林和生物能源的选择至关重要.
- 为了有效缓解气候变化,平衡碳捕获和区域气候影响至关重要.
- 这两种策略都有权衡,需要仔细考虑实现气候目标.
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