避免水电,风能和太阳能在南非低碳电力系统中的生态系统和社会影响
Grace C Wu1, Ranjit Deshmukh2,3, Anne Trainor4
1Environmental Studies, Bren Hall, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, 93106, USA. gracecwu@ucsb.edu.
Nature communications
|February 5, 2024
概括
非洲需要前所未有的低碳电力部署. 保护土地和淡水资源有利于风能和太阳能发电,可能减少水力发电.
科学领域:
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 非洲的快速经济增长和气候目标需要大规模的低碳电力扩张.
- 这种能源基础设施建设对土地和淡水的潜在影响尚未得到充分了解.
研究的目的:
- 描述南非的低影响性陆上风能,太阳能光伏和水电潜力.
- 在各种社会环境和碳制约条件下确定成本最佳的发电组合.
主要方法:
- 考虑土地使用保护的可再生能源潜力的空间分析.
- 电力发电技术组合的经济建模.
- 用不同的土地利用,淡水和碳目标进行场景分析.
主要成果:
- 即使有土地保护,也存在大量的风能和太阳能潜力.
- 大约40%的计划中的水电项目面临着社会环境冲突.
- 土地和淡水保护增加了风能,太阳能和电池容量,同时减少了水电容量.
结论:
- 平衡碳目标和社会环境保护,会使系统成本增加3-6%.
- 没有保护措施,水力发电的重大环境和社会影响是可能的.
- 优先考虑风能和太阳能对于南非的可持续能源发展至关重要.
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