将气候准备纳入渔业管理战略中
Elizabeth Talbot1, Jean-Beth S Jontila2, Benjamin J Gonzales2
1Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Prospect Place, Plymouth PL1 3DH, United Kingdom.
The Science of the total environment
|February 6, 2024
概括
气候变化威胁着热带渔业,影响着鱼群和粮食安全. 可持续的管理需要适应不可避免的气候压力,以适应性渔业.
科学领域:
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 渔业管理 渔业管理 渔业管理
背景情况:
- 热带海洋显示出早期气候变化影响,影响海洋鱼类的分布和丰富性.
- 鱼类种群的变化对依赖渔业为食物和生计的沿海社区产生重大影响.
研究的目的:
- 评估菲律宾渔业中关键物种的气候脆弱性.
- 了解气候变化对渔业生产和粮食安全的影响.
主要方法:
- 对物种分布建模数据集的空间元分析.
- 在两个排放场景 (RCP4.5和RCP8.5) 和不同的捕捞压力下进行分析.
主要成果:
- 预计气候变化的广泛影响,特别是对海底物种.
- 在研究区域的大部分地区预计鱼类丰度将下降.
- 确定潜在的气候变化热点,亮点和避难所.
结论:
- 菲律宾的可持续渔业管理需要适应短期气候压力.
- 适应气候变化的管理计划对于维持粮食安全和生计至关重要.
- 将气候变化考虑因素纳入渔业管理是抵御力的关键.
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