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西方引发的湖效雪,加剧了西藏高原气候变暖带来的降雪
Yufeng Dai1, Tao Wang1, Yongwei Sheng2
1State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
Science bulletin
|February 8, 2024
概括
湖效雪 (LES) 在西藏高原 (TP) 上因全球变暖而增加. 西方转移引发了这种现象,这与湖泊大小和风速有关,需要适应性政策.
科学领域:
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 水文学的水文学
背景情况:
- 湖效果降雪 (LES) 是一种天气现象,冷空气群体在大型水体上移动,吸收水分并将其沉积成雪.
- 全球变暖正在加剧西藏高原 (TP) 的湖泊扩张,增加了 LES 事件的可能性.
- 由于LES的频率越来越高,对TP的LES的全面评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查LES在TP上的触发因素和影响因素.
- 量化TP湖对降雪的贡献.
- 在气候变暖情景下,预测 LES 的未来变化.
主要方法:
- 分析卫星观测和对12个大湖 (>300平方公里) 的再分析数据.
- 使用灵敏度模型模拟来评估南部TP湖对降雪的影响.
- 在RCP4.5情景下使用气候变暖预测.
主要成果:
- 在TP上的LES是由西风向南转移引发的,导致空气温度下降.
- LES的发生与湖泊面积,风速和经度正相关.
- 2013年,南TP的大型湖泊占下风下降降雪量的50%以上.
结论:
- 预计在RCP4.5气候变暖情景下,西方触发的LES事件将增加.
- 这些发现强调了与未来的TP上LES相关的日益增长的风险.
- 制定适应性政策对于应对 LES 的日益增长的影响至关重要.
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