在反应时间分布的表示中存在系统偏差
Ryoji Onagawa1,2, Kazutoshi Kudo3, Katsumi Watanabe1
1Faculty of Science and Engineering, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan.
概括
人们在判断自己的运动表现时往往会高估罕见事件,低估常见事件,这种偏见即使在数据呈现清晰的情况下也会持续下去.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 发动机控制器 发动机控制器
- 决策 决策是做出决定的.
背景情况:
- 准确的自我认知对于有效的决策至关重要.
- 一个已知的偏差在概率感知涉及高估罕见事件.
研究的目的:
- 为了调查是否存在类似的偏差在一个简单的反应任务中的行动结果.
- 为了确定这种偏差在电机性能表示中的强度.
主要方法:
- 参与者执行了一个简单的反应任务,并判断在参考时间内响应的概率.
- 实验包括评估自我和他人反应时间,数值表示和视觉呈现的数据.
主要成果:
- 反应时间的表示概率分布比实际分布更宽.
- 低概率事件被高估,高概率事件被低估.
- 这种偏差在不同的实验条件中是强大的,包括视觉数据呈现.
结论:
- 在运动性能表示中存在强大的偏差,反映了一般概率感知偏差.
- 难以消除这种过度估计罕见事件和低估常见事件的偏见.
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