在COVID-19之后,欧洲的ADHD药物消费:追赶还是趋势变化?
Sophie Gimbach1,2, Daniel Vogel3, Roland Fried4
1Data Science Hub, MEDICE Arzneimittel Pütter GmbH & Co. KG, 58638, Iserlohn, Germany. s.gimbach@medice.de.
BMC psychiatry
|February 9, 2024
概括
欧洲的ADHD药物使用量在2020年下降,但反弹了,到2022年明显超过了大流行前的预测. 这表明,在整个非洲大陆,注意力缺陷多动性障碍药物消费增长的明显后COVID-19趋势变化.
科学领域:
- 神经科学是一个神经科学.
- 药理学 药理学是指药理学的学科.
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 随着COVID-19的流行,心理健康服务和药物使用受到影响.
- 缺乏关于大流行对注意力缺陷多动症 (ADHD) 药物治疗趋势的长期影响的纵向数据.
研究的目的:
- 分析2020年至2022年欧洲ADHD药物消费情况.
- 将实际消费量与SARIMA模型预测的流行前趋势进行比较.
主要方法:
- 利用季节性自回归集成移动平均 (SARIMA) 模型进行消费预测.
- 将观察到的ADHD药物销售数据 (2020-2022) 与基于模型的流行前预测进行了比较.
主要成果:
- 2020年ADHD药物的销量下降,但在2021年恢复到预测水平.
- 在欧洲国家,2022年销售额超过预测水平,平均为16.4%.
- 与2014-2019年相比,2021-2022年期间,28个国家中有26个国家的消费增长显著加速.
结论:
- 在欧洲,流行病后发生了ADHD药物消费增长模式的显著转变.
- 有证据表明,COVID-19大流行对ADHD治疗趋势产生了持久的影响.
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