贝叶斯网络方法用于采矿卡车可靠性分析
1Department of Mining Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Birjand, Birjand, Iran. rahimdel@birjand.ac.ir.
Scientific reports
|February 10, 2024
概括
使用贝叶斯网络的采矿卡车的可靠性分析表明,卡车5是最关键的. 燃料注入系统是故障的主要原因,强调了有针对性的预防性维护的必要性.
科学领域:
- 采矿工程 采矿工程 采矿工程
- 运营研究 运营研究
- 可靠性工程可靠性工程
背景情况:
- 高效的矿物运输对于采矿业务至关重要.
- 卡车故障会严重扰乱生产并降低整体产量.
- 采矿卡车的可靠性分析对于提高效率和生产率至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种分析采矿卡车车队可靠性的新方法.
- 确定影响机队可靠性的关键组件和因素.
- 为改善维护策略提供见解.
主要方法:
- 开发了基于可靠性块图的采矿卡车的故障树.
- 使用条件概率分析构建了一个动态贝叶斯网络.
- 进行了关键分析,以确定组件对车队故障的贡献.
主要成果:
- 标识的卡车号码. 5作为对车队故障最敏感的组件.
- 车队可靠性在20小时时达到0.881.
- 燃料注射系统是卡车发动机故障的主要原因.
结论:
- 拟议的贝叶斯网络模型有效地分析了采矿卡车车队的可靠性.
- 燃料注射系统的有针对性的预防性维护可以显著提高车队的可靠性和可用性.
- 通过专注的可靠性工程,可以提高采矿业的运营效率.
相关概念视频
Hazard Rate
108
The hazard rate, also known as the hazard function or failure rate, is a statistical measure used to describe the instantaneous rate at which an event occurs, given that the event has not yet happened. From a probabilistic perspective, it represents the likelihood that a subject will experience the event in a very small time interval, conditional on surviving up to the beginning of that interval. In terms of frequency, the hazard rate can be viewed as the ratio of the number of events to the...
108
Determination of Expected Frequency
2.2K
Suppose one wants to test independence between the two variables of a contingency table. The values in the table constitute the observed frequencies of the dataset. But how does one determine the expected frequency of the dataset? One of the important assumptions is that the two variables are independent, which means the variables do not influence each other. For independent variables, the statistical probability of any event involving both variables is calculated by multiplying the individual...
2.2K
Parametric Survival Analysis: Weibull and Exponential Methods
433
Parametric survival analysis models survival data by assuming a specific probability distribution for the time until an event occurs. The Weibull and exponential distributions are two of the most commonly used methods in this context, due to their versatility and relatively straightforward application.
Weibull Distribution
The Weibull distribution is a flexible model used in parametric survival analysis. It can handle both increasing and decreasing hazard rates, depending on its shape parameter...
Weibull Distribution
The Weibull distribution is a flexible model used in parametric survival analysis. It can handle both increasing and decreasing hazard rates, depending on its shape parameter...
433
Estimating Population Mean with Known Standard Deviation
8.3K
To construct a confidence interval for a single unknown population mean μ, where the population standard deviation is known, we need sample mean as an estimate for μ and we need the margin of error. Here, the margin of error (EBM) is called the error bound for a population mean (abbreviated EBM). The sample mean is the point estimate of the unknown population mean μ.
The confidence interval estimate will have the form as follows:
(point estimate - error bound, point estimate +...
The confidence interval estimate will have the form as follows:
(point estimate - error bound, point estimate +...
8.3K
Friction: Problem Solving
230
Friction is an essential force that influences the motion of objects in daily life. Depending on the situation, it can be either beneficial or problematic. Consider a bus with a mass of three megagrams and its center of mass at a specific point, moving along a banked road at a constant speed. The coefficient of static friction between the tires and the road is 0.5. Find the maximum angle of the banked road at which the bus would not slip or tip.
Initially, a visual representation of the...
Initially, a visual representation of the...
230
Probability Histograms
11.6K
A probability histogram is a visual representation of a probability distribution. Similar a typical histogram, the probability histogram consists of contiguous (adjoining) boxes. It has both a horizontal axis and a vertical axis. The horizontal axis is labeled with what the data represents. The vertical axis is labeled with probability. Each rectangular bar in the histogram is 1 unit wide, which suggests that the area under each bar equals the probability, P(x), where x is 1, 2, 3, and so on.
11.6K


