确定非点源污染的关键来源区域以提高水质:综合SWAT建模和多变量统计分析以揭示关键变量和值
Shubo Fang1, Matthew J Deitch1, Tesfay G Gebremicael1
1Soil, Water, and Ecosystem Sciences Department, University of Florida/IFAS/West Florida Research and Education Center, Milton, FL 32583, USA.
Water research
|February 11, 2024
概括
保护水质需要了解土地使用影响. 森林减少营养流失,而发达地区增加. 确定关键源区是流域管理的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水文学的水文学
- 水质管理水质管理
背景情况:
- 流域管理需要确定影响水质的因素.
- 土地使用和土地覆盖 (LULC) 显著影响营养和污染物负载.
研究的目的:
- 确定Choctawhatchee流域水质的驱动因素和值.
- 确定有针对性的营养减少策略的关键来源区域 (CSA).
主要方法:
- 集成土壤和水资源评估工具 (SWAT) 用LULC数据进行建模.
- 采用多变量统计分析,包括渐进线性回归和自组织图 (SOM).
- 使用接收机运行特征 (ROC) 曲线分析来确定关键值.
主要成果:
- 森林覆盖与总 (TN),有机 (ORGN) 和有机 (ORGP) 有负相关.
- 开发区和种植作物 ("来源区") 与总 (TP) 有正相关.
- 确定值:37.47%的森林覆盖率和20.26%的源区域覆盖率用于CSA识别.
- 中央水域区域 (28%的流域) 贡献了TN的47%,TP的50%.
结论:
- 森林对于减轻营养污染至关重要;增加开发/耕种面积加剧了负荷.
- 确立的门和确定的CSA为流域管理提供了可操作的见解.
- 将基于过程的建模与统计分析相结合,对于有效提高水质至关重要.
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