社会变化和种族特定的谋杀轨迹:年龄-时期-队列分析
Yunmei Lu1, Liying Luo2, Mateus Rennó Santos3
1University at Buffalo, State University of New York.
The Journal of research in crime and delinquency
|February 12, 2024
概括
黑人和白人美国人的谋杀参与轨迹显示了类似的年龄模式,但黑人队伍的波动性更大. 最近的队列显示出不同的趋势,黑人人口经历了平稳的趋势,白人人口正在下降.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 在美国,种族差异仍然存在,黑人和白人人口经历着不同的社会现实.
- 了解这些差异对于解决社会不平等及其对健康结果的影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 检查美国黑人和白人人口中杀人犯罪和受害者的队列模式和生命轨迹.
- 分析四十年来涉及凶杀案的种族特异趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自补充杀人报告 (1976-2018) 的数据.
- 用于种族特定趋势分析的就业年龄-时期-队列交互 (APC-I) 模型.
- 调查了犯罪和受害模式.
主要成果:
- 观察到相似的年龄,时期和队列对两种种族群体的谋杀参与的影响.
- 在黑人个体的队列效应中发现明显更高的波动性,与白人个体相比.
- 在1990年以后出生的人群中发现了不同的队列趋势:白人队列的下降趋势和黑人队列的平稳趋势.
结论:
- 黑人队伍参与谋杀行为对外部社会变化 (例如,经济转变,流行病) 更敏感.
- 在最近的出生队伍中,谋杀参与的种族差距越来越大.
- 基于种族和队列,建议不同的途径影响谋杀参与.
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