沿着北极的节奏:由于冬季气候, lemming 种群周期是否在变化?
Gilles Gauthier1, Dorothée Ehrich2, Maria Belke-Brea3
1Department of Biology and Centre d'études nordiques, Université Laval, Québec city, Québec, Canada.
Proceedings. Biological sciences
|February 14, 2024
概括
北极 lemming 种群继续表现出周期性波动,而不是广泛的崩. 虽然一些地区出现零星周期,但持续的变暖可能会影响未来的人口突破和原食物网.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 北极生物学 北极生物学
- 人口动态 人口动态
背景情况:
- 人们担心北极地区的鸟和 lemming 种群周期正在消失.
- 对原食物网动态的潜在影响是一个重大问题.
研究的目的:
- 为了分析四十年来环极北极地区的 lemming 种群波动.
- 为了确定是否正在发生北极全域的 lemming 周期崩.
主要方法:
- 汇编了24个独特的时间序列,记录了 lemming 种群的波动.
- 对周期性和非周期性时期的统计分析,包括周期性和频率.
- 对气候因素的调查,如温暖时期和冬季条件,对 lemming 丰富度.
主要成果:
- 几乎所有分析的 lemming 种群都显示了循环和非循环波动的交替.
- 周期性模式发生了55%的时间,平均周期为3.7年.
- 近年来,非周期性时期并不频繁;没有检测到北极范围内的崩.
结论:
- 在北极地区,阻碍周期并没有崩,但在许多地点,周期是零星的.
- 在前一年的降雪期中,温暖的时期对 lemming 丰富度产生了负面影响.
- 持续的冬季早期变暖可能会减少突破频率,可能会损害原生态系统.
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