气候变化对埃及可再生能源的潜在影响
Mahmoud Adel Hassaan1, Mohamed Abdel Karim Aly Abdrabo2, Hadeer Ahmed Hussein2
1Institute of Graduate Studies and Research, Alexandria University, 163 Horreya Avenue, Chatby, Alexandria, Egypt. mhassaan@alexu.edu.eg.
Environmental monitoring and assessment
|February 15, 2024
概括
到2065年,气候变化可能会使埃及的风能潜力减少±12%,太阳能光伏发电可能会减少1.3%. 这种评估对于制定可持续可再生能源政策至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 可再生能源技术可再生能源技术
- 气候建模气候模型
背景情况:
- 可持续能源和气候变化缓解的日益增长的需求推动了可再生能源的采用.
- 风能和太阳能等可再生能源对气候因素敏感,影响其可靠性.
- 评估未来的气候变化影响对于确保可再生能源的长期可持续性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估气候变化对埃及风能和太阳能潜力的影响.
- 根据RCP 8.5情景,在2065年之前预测这些影响.
- 为制定弹性可再生能源政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 使用基于地理信息系统 (GIS) 的方法.
- 应用了三步分析方法.
- 根据代表性度路径8.5 (RCP 8.5) 建模的气候变化影响.
主要成果:
- 预计埃及的太阳能潜力不像风能那样容易受到气候变化的影响.
- 据估计,到2065年,风能潜力将发生大约±12%的变化.
- 预计到2065年,光伏 (PV) 模块的输出功率将平均减少1.3%.
结论:
- 与太阳能相比,埃及的风能资源面临着更大的气候变化风险.
- 预计太阳能光伏发电量下降需要适应性策略.
- 研究结果支持埃及制定更可持续,更灵活的可再生能源政策.
相关概念视频
What is Climate?
18.5K
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
18.5K
Global Climate Change
24.4K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
24.4K
Radiation: Applications
1.2K
The average temperature of Earth is the subject of much current discussion. Earth is in radiative contact with both the Sun and dark space; it receives almost all its energy from the radiation of the Sun and reflects some of it into outer space. Dark space is very cold, about 3 K, so Earth radiates energy into it. For instance, heat transfer occurs from soil and grasses, the rate of which can be so rapid that frost can occur on clear summer evenings, even in warm latitudes.
The average...
The average...
1.2K
Threats to Biodiversity
22.3K
There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
22.3K
Adaptations that Reduce Water Loss
25.6K
Though evaporation from plant leaves drives transpiration, it also results in loss of water. Because water is critical for photosynthetic reactions and other cellular processes, evolutionary pressures on plants in different environments have driven the acquisition of adaptations that reduce water loss.
25.6K
What is Weather?
18.2K
Overview
18.2K


