整合FRAM和BN以加强建筑应急响应中的弹性评估:一个脚手架崩案例研究
Zihao Guo1,2, Jianjun She1,2, Zhijian Li1
1College of Civil Engineering, Nanjing Tech University, Nanjing, 211816, China.
Heliyon
|February 15, 2024
概括
这项研究提出了一种评估建筑应急响应弹性的新型模型. "部门间协调和联系"是关键,响应速度是脚手架崩事件中最敏感的因素.
科学领域:
- 工程 工程师 工程师 工程师
- 弹性工程 弹性工程
- 应急管理 应急管理
背景情况:
- 在紧急情况下,建筑系统面临重大不确定性.
- 弹性提供了一个新的视角,以减轻这些挑战在应急响应.
研究的目的:
- 引入一个创新的模型来评估建筑应急响应过程的弹性.
- 用脚手架崩场景作为模型演示的案例研究.
主要方法:
- 功能共振分析方法 (FRAM) 的整合用于定性映射和贝叶斯网络 (BNs) 的概率评估.
- 使用Delphi方法和修改的K-shell (MKS) 分解进行概率计算.
- 使用AgenaRisk软件对BN模型进行模拟和灵敏度分析.
主要成果:
- 该模型成功评估了建筑应急响应的弹性.
- "部门间协调和联系"被确定为最关键的功能.
- 迅速性成为影响整体弹性最敏感的方面.
结论:
- 拟议的FRAM-BN综合模型为评估建筑中的应急响应弹性提供了一个强大的框架.
- 有效的跨部门协调和快速反应对于在脚手架崩事件中增强性至关重要.
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