吸引和阻碍海湾合作委员会国家的外国直接投资的决定因素:宏观经济和环境因素是否重要?
Majed Alharthi1, Md Mazharul Islam1, Hawazen Alamoudi2
1Finance Department, College of Business, King Abdulaziz University, Rabigh, Saudi Arabia.
PloS one
|February 15, 2024
概括
海湾合作委员会 (GCC) 国家的外国直接投资 (FDI) 受经济和环境因素,如GDP增长和城市化等因素的重大影响. 吸引外国直接投资需要战略来促进就业和营造有利的商业环境.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 国际商业 国际商业 国际商业
- 环境经济学环境经济学
背景情况:
- 海湾合作委员会 (GCC) 经济体严重依赖石油和天然气,需要多样化.
- 外国直接投资 (FDI) 是海湾合作委员会国家经济多元化和竞争力的关键工具.
- 了解吸引外国直接投资的因素对于超越化石燃料的可持续经济发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查海湾合作委员会国家的长期外国直接投资流入的宏观经济和环境决定因素.
- 探索确定因素与外国直接投资吸引之间的因果关系.
- 为加强该地区的外国直接投资提供基于证据的战略.
主要方法:
- 使用面板自回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 方法进行协同集成.
- 分析了来自六个海湾合作委员会国家的长时间序列数据 (1990-2019).
- 包括GDP增长,通货膨胀,二氧化碳排放,城市化和失业等变量.
主要成果:
- 海湾合作委员会国家的长期外国直接投资受到GDP增长 (GDPG),通货膨胀 (INFL),二氧化碳排放 (CO2) 和城市化 (URB) 的重大影响.
- 长期来看,失业率 (UNEMP) 也对外国直接投资流入产生了显著的积极影响.
- 所有测试的独立变量都显示出对外国直接投资的长期影响很大.
结论:
- 专注于减少失业率,促进GDP增长和推进城市化发展的战略对于吸引外国直接投资至关重要.
- 维持人口增长和对基础设施的投资是持续的外国直接投资的建议.
- 创造长期的经济激励和支持性的商业基础设施对于吸引海湾合作委员会国家的外国直接投资至关重要.
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