在COVID-19疫情期间使用随机森林阐明挥发性有机化合物对臭氧形成的贡献:中国的一个案例研究
Yan Lyu1, Yibu Gao2, Xiaobing Pang3
1College of Environment, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, 310014, China; School of Environment and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, 221116, China; Shaoxing Research Institute, Zhejiang University of Technology, Shaoxing, 312077, China.
Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)
|February 16, 2024
概括
在COVID-19大流行期间对挥发性有机化合物 (VOC) 进行了监测,揭示了芳和是臭氧形成的关键因素. 机器学习模型有效地预测了臭氧水平,突出了VOC和二氧化在不同季节的影响.
科学领域:
- 大气化学 大气化学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 在COVID-19大流行期间,臭氧水平矛盾地增加了,尽管氧化减少了.
- 挥发性有机化合物 (VOC) 是臭氧形成的关键前体,但在大流行期间的测量不足.
研究的目的:
- 从2021年1月到2022年8月,评估98种监测的VOC物种对中国城市臭氧形成的贡献.
- 在疫情期间使用机器学习研究VOC和气象因素对臭氧形成的影响.
主要方法:
- 持续监测98种挥发性有机物种,包括基,芳香物和含氧挥发性有机物 (OVOCs).
- 分析不同VOC的季节性和日间变化,周末效应和臭氧形成潜力 (OFP).
- 应用一种包含VOC,NO2和气象数据的随机森林模型,用于臭氧预测.
主要成果:
- 总VOC度平均为35.55±21.47ppb,其中基,芳香物和VOCs是主要成分.
- 芳香物 (39%) 和基 (33%) 是OFP的主要贡献者,其中o/m/p-烯,乙烯和烯是关键驱动因素.
- 随机森林模型实现了高臭氧预测精度 (R2 = 0.770.86),VOC和NO2显示出显著的重要性,根据季节而异.
结论:
- 芳香物和是大流行期间臭氧形成的关键VOC,需要有针对性的排放控制.
- 机器学习模型是理解复杂的臭氧形成机制和预测臭氧水平的有效工具.
- 挥发性有机物和二氧化在臭氧形成中的相对重要性因季节性变化而有所不同,这表明需要动态控制策略.
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