在足球中,球员和球队拥有球时间的理论和数据分析
Ken Yamamoto1, Seiya Uezu2, Keiichiro Kagawa3
1Faculty of Science, University of the Ryukyus, Nishihara, Okinawa 903-0213, Japan.
Physical review. E
|February 17, 2024
概括
这项研究分析了足球中的球占有,发现球员的球占有时间遵循了马分布. 一个新的公式模型基于玩家数据的团队占有时间,提供了对游戏动态的洞察力.
科学领域:
- 运动分析 运动分析
- 可能性理论概率理论.
- 统计建模 统计建模
背景情况:
- 了解球掌握在足球分析中至关重要.
- 以前的模型经常简化了占有事件的复杂随机性质.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究球员和球队在职业足球中拥有球的时间的随机性质.
- 开发和验证团队占有时间的数学模型.
主要方法:
- 专业足球比赛数据的统计分析.
- 使用马和几何分布进行分布适配.
- 公式推导和经验验证.
主要成果:
- 玩家占有时间是准确地模拟的马分布.
- 参与占有事件的玩家数量遵循两个几何分布的混合.
- 提出并验证了一种新的团队占有时间公式.
结论:
- 拟议的模型提供了对足球占有动态的更细致的理解.
- 这些发现为先进的体育分析和预测建模提供了基础.
- 该研究强调了先进的统计方法在体育科学中的适用性.
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