技术创新对环境库兹涅茨曲线的影响:来自欧盟-27国家的证据
Hamdi Ercan1, Buket Savranlar2, Melike Atay Polat3
1Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Aviation Electrical and Electronics, Erciyes University, Kayseri, Turkey.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|February 17, 2024
概括
技术创新减少了二氧化碳排放,而收入不平等,出口和城市化在欧盟27国增加了二氧化碳排放. 环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设是无效的,显示出U形的增长-排放联系.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设在收入和环境质量之间存在一个反转的U形关系.
- 最近的文献在EKC研究中探讨了技术创新和收入不平等对污染的影响.
研究的目的:
- 分析技术创新,收入不平等,出口和城市化对欧盟27国二氧化碳排放的影响.
- 测试EKC假设的有效性,并检查增长与排放的关系.
主要方法:
- 在2005-2019年期间使用了面板矢量自回归 (PVAR) 分析.
- 使用因果关系测试和冲动响应函数来评估可变的相互依赖性.
主要成果:
- 发现收入不平等,出口和城市化增加了二氧化碳排放.
- 技术创新被证明可以通过减少排放来改善环境质量.
- 经济增长和二氧化碳排放之间观察到U形关系,使得研究区域的EKC假设无效.
结论:
- 政策干预应侧重于减轻收入不平等,利用技术进步提高欧盟27国环境质量.
- 从所有解释变量到二氧化碳排放的单向因果关系强调了需要综合政策方法的必要性.
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