从积极的转变为负的间接CO2对植被碳吸收的影响
Zefeng Chen1,2,3, Weiguang Wang4,5,6, Giovanni Forzieri7
1National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing, China.
Nature communications
|February 20, 2024
概括
大气中二氧化碳 (CO2) 增加对植物生长的间接影响最近在全球范围内从积极转向负面. 这一趋势是由气候变化和土地干旱推动的,预计随着全球变暖的持续,这种趋势将进一步恶化.
科学领域:
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 全球生态学全球生态学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 大气中的高二氧化碳 (eCO2) 影响植被通过气候变化吸收碳,但这些动态尚未完全理解.
- 对于预测未来的碳循环来说,eCO2,气候变化和陆地生态系统之间的相互作用至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查eCO2驱动的气候变化对1982年至2014年全球生长季度初级生产的不断变化的影响.
- 评估这些影响的未来演变,直到2100年.
主要方法:
- 利用卫星观测和地球系统模型进行全球分析.
- 分析了回应eCO2和相关气候变化的原始生产总值趋势.
主要成果:
- 由于eCO2引起的气候变化对植被吸收碳的积极影响已经下降,在21世纪初变得负面.
- 这种负面转变在高度地区尤为突出,并且与直接的二氧化碳生理效应的减少有关.
- 大范围的土地干旱有助于削弱间接的二氧化碳效应.
结论:
- 由于这些间接影响,气候变暖和二氧化碳施肥对植物生长的好处正在减少.
- 预计未来的全球变暖将加剧对植被间接二氧化碳影响的减弱.
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