多源信息融合驱动的玉米产量预测使用随机森林从农业和林业经济管理的角度
Xuziqi Yang1, Zekai Hua2, Liang Li3
1College of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, 712100, Shaanxi, China. yxzq@nwafu.edu.cn.
Scientific reports
|February 20, 2024
概括
本研究介绍了一种基于多源信息融合的作物产量预测 (CYP) 随机森林模型. 该模型在预测玉米产量方面取得了很高的准确性,优于其他方法,并且随着更大的田地尺寸的提高而得到改善.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 机器学习 机器学习
背景情况:
- 准确的作物产量预测对于资源分配和粮食安全至关重要.
- 传统方法往往缺乏精度,并与空间可变性作斗争.
研究的目的:
- 使用随机森林开发和评估一种基于多源信息融合 (MSIF) 的新型作物产量预测 (CYP) 模型.
- 为了提高玉米产量预测的准确性和稳定性.
主要方法:
- 实验性玉米田的数字图像是使用数字相机拍摄的.
- 玉米产量和增长数据使用MSIF进行了融合.
- 开发了一个随机森林模型,整合了CYP的MSIF数据.
主要成果:
- 基于MSIF的CYP随机森林模型实现了89.30%的预测准确度,比SVM和LSTM的表现更好13.44%.
- 预测准确度随着实验场大小的增加,达到98.71%的最高值.
- 与控制模型相比,该模型表现出优越的适配和预测能力.
结论:
- 拟议的基于MSIF的CYP随机森林模型在精密农业方面取得了重大进展.
- 该模型为早期预警产量影响因素提供了有价值的见解.
- 这些发现支持采用基于MSIF的CYP用于农业经济管理.
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