在美国,消费者对无条件儿童津贴的反应
Zachary Parolin1, Giulia Giupponi2, Emma K Lee3
1Department of Social and Political Sciences, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy. Zachary.parolin@unibocconi.it.
Nature human behaviour
|February 20, 2024
概括
扩大的儿童税收抵免 (CTC) 为家庭提供了每月的支付,促进了家庭消费. 这种财政支持增加了对儿童必需商品和服务的支出.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 公共政策 公共政策
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 由于COVID-19大流行,美国家庭遭受了巨大的财务压力.
- 2021年美国救援计划法案暂时扩大了儿童税收抵免 (CTC).
- 扩大的CTC作为儿童津贴,为有孩子的家庭提供每月支付.
研究的目的:
- 调查扩大儿童税收抵免 (CTC) 对家庭消费模式的影响.
- 分析无条件儿童津贴支付如何影响家庭支出.
- 量化CTC扩张对各个行业的经济影响.
主要方法:
- 利用美国130万家机构的匿名移动位置数据和借记卡/信用卡交易数据.
- 采用差异差异框架来确定因果关系.
- 利用来自CTC的家庭收入增长的县级变化进行识别.
主要成果:
- 拥有更大的CTC福利的县目睹了对儿童保育和健康/个人护理机构的访问增加.
- 在杂货店和普通商店中,参观量和每笔交易支出均显著增加.
- 有证据表明,CTC扩张直接刺激了家庭消费和针对儿童的支出.
结论:
- 儿童税收抵免 (CTC) 的临时扩展实际上增加了家庭消费.
- 该政策导致对儿童相关的商品和服务的支出增加,包括儿童保育和健康.
- 调查结果强调了直接财政支持在缓解经济困难和支持儿童福祉方面的作用.
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