伊朗南部COVID-19大流行期间过度死亡:使用生态数据估计绝对数和相对风险
Mohammadreza Zakeri1, Alireza Mirahmadizadeh2, Habibollah Azarbakhsh3
1Health Policy Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.
Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi
|February 20, 2024
概括
由于COVID-19大流行,伊朗南部的过度死亡人数增加了26%,共计5571人死亡. 许多死亡间接与COVID-19有关,特别是来自心血管疾病.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 死亡率研究 死亡率研究
背景情况:
- 随着COVID-19的流行,全球死亡率显著增加.
- 了解过度死亡人数对于评估流行病影响至关重要.
- 伊朗南部在疫情期间死亡率显著上升.
研究的目的:
- 在COVID-19大流行期间,估计伊朗南部过度死亡人数.
- 分析大流行对所有原因死亡率的影响.
- 为了确定受疫情影响的特定年龄组和死亡原因.
主要方法:
- 使用国家死亡登记册数据进行生态研究设计.
- 计算P分数以量化过度死亡率.
- 间断时间序列分析以确定死亡的相对风险.
主要成果:
- 记录了5571例过度死亡,增加了33.29%.
- 48.03%的过度死亡直接归因于COVID-19.
- 观察到所有原因 (RR 1.26) 和心血管疾病 (RR 1.17) 的死亡风险增加,特别是在35岁及以上的成年人中.
结论:
- 疫情期间,伊朗南部的死亡率总体上升了26%.
- 过度死亡的很大一部分是间接由大流行病造成的.
- 心血管疾病成为非COVID-19过度死亡的主要原因之一.
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