西雅图道路安全改进对当地企业的经济影响:对Vision Zero项目的影响
Daniel R Osterhage1,2, Jessica Acolin1, Paul A Fishman1
1Department of Health Systems and Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
概括
视野零道路安全改进不会对当地企业的销售产生负面影响. 这项研究没有发现安全项目附近的企业对经济产生不利影响,鼓励社区支持更安全的街道.
科学领域:
- 城市规划是城市规划.
- 运输工程 运输工程 运输工程
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 由于对销售的担忧,当地运输机构面临着业主反对Vision Zero道路安全项目.
- 关于这些道路安全改善举措的经济影响的研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 调查Vision Zero道路安全项目对邻近企业的经济影响.
- 确定道路安全改进是否会影响零售,食品和服务业务的应税销售.
主要方法:
- 检查了西雅图七个道路安全项目附近的企业的应税销售数据 (2006-2014).
- 干预地点与18个匹配的比较地点进行了比较,但没有安全改进.
- 利用层次线性模型来分析年度应税销售额的变化.
主要成果:
- 在干预 (447万美元) 和比较 (568万美元) 地点之间,基线年度应税销售额是可比的.
- 在干预 (每年120万美元) 和比较 (每年114万美元) 地点,每年应税销售额同样增加.
- 干预和比较地点之间的销售增长差异在统计学上并不显著 (p=0.64).
结论:
- 道路安全改善项目,包括Vision Zero计划中的项目,与对邻近企业的负面经济影响无关.
- 这些发现应该缓解业主对安全改进造成的潜在销售损失的担忧.
- 鼓励企业和运输机构之间的合作,以实施Vision Zero项目,减少与交通有关的伤害.
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