使用后置预测模型检查方法评估时间变化的动态部分信贷模型的合适性
Sebastian Castro-Alvarez1,2, Sandip Sinharay3, Laura F Bringmann1
1Department of Psychometrics and Statistics, Faculty of Behavioural and Social Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
The British journal of mathematical and statistical psychology
|February 21, 2024
概括
本研究引入了新的统计工具,用于评估时间变化的动态部分信用模型 (TV-DPCM),这对于分析密集的纵向数据至关重要. 提出的后置预测模型检查 (PPMC) 方法有效评估模型的合适性,增强心理测量分析.
科学领域:
- 心理测量 心理测量 心理测量
- 统计建模 统计建模
- 纵向数据分析 纵向数据分析
背景情况:
- 项目响应理论 (IRT) 模型越来越多地用于密集的纵向数据.
- 时间变化的动态部分信用模型 (TV-DPCM) 结合了IRT与时间变化的自回归模型,使项目心理测量和潜在状态趋势的分析成为可能.
- 在评估TV-DPCM合适性的方法中存在很大的差距.
研究的目的:
- 提出和开发新的统计测试统计数据和差异测量方法,以评估TV-DPCM的适用性.
- 调整后置预测模型检查 (PPMC) 方法,以评估TV-DPCM的合适性.
- 证明拟议的基于PPMC的方法的有用性和性能.
主要方法:
- 基于后置预测模型检查 (PPMC) 框架的测试统计和差异测量的开发.
- 应用PPMC来评估时间变化的动态部分信贷模型 (TV-DPCM) 的合适性.
- 使用模拟和实证数据集来评估拟议的方法.
主要成果:
- 开发的基于PPMC的方法为评估TV-DPCM的适应性提供了有效的工具.
- 模拟和经验数据分析证实了拟议的统计和措施的性能和实用性.
- 该研究成功地解决了TV-DPCM缺乏模型合适性评估工具的问题.
结论:
- 后置预测模型检查 (PPMC) 方法为评估时间变化动态部分信贷模型 (TV-DPCM) 的合适性提供了一种可行的方法.
- 拟议的统计测试和差异测量增强了TV-DPCM在分析密集的纵向数据中的应用.
- 这项工作为心理测量学家和研究人员提供了必要的工具,这些研究人员使用复杂的纵向数据结构.
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