牛的死亡率:两个数据源的实用性,以提供人口层面的监视情报
Jude I Eze1,2, Carla Correia-Gomes1, George J Gunn1
1Centre for Epidemiology and Planetary Health, Scotland's Rural College (SRUC), Inverness, United Kingdom.
Frontiers in veterinary science
|February 22, 2024
概括
通过比较两组苏格兰牛死亡数据集,发现了监测的互补优势. 牛追踪系统 (CTS) 提供了广泛的覆盖范围,而已死亡的牛群数据更好地捕捉了早期的小牛死亡率.
科学领域:
- 兽医流行病学 兽医流行病学
- 动物健康监督 动物健康监督
- 数据科学在农业中的应用
背景情况:
- 现有的牛死亡率监测数据源存在挑战.
- 牛追踪系统 (CTS) 和国家倒闭的股票公司 (NSFCo) 集合是苏格兰牛死亡率的潜在代理.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较CTS和NSFCo数据的优势和局限性,用于牛死亡率监测.
- 使用这两个数据集,评估苏格兰牛死亡的时间,季节和空间模式.
主要方法:
- 对2011-2016年CTS和NSFCo数据的比较分析.
- 检查不同年龄组和邮政编码区域的时间,季节和空间模式.
- 应用时间偏差检测算法 (TADA).
主要成果:
- 两组数据都显示出大致相似的死亡率模式,与已知的生产系统保持一致.
- CTS数据提供了更全面的地理覆盖范围.
- 根据NSFCo的数据,可以更准确地测量非常年轻的小牛 (0-1个月大) 的死亡率.
结论:
- 单独的数据集都不足以进行全面的死亡监测;它们是互补的.
- 仅使用CTS数据可能会低估早产小牛的死亡率.
- 两种数据集的并行分析可以优化动物卫生政策和畜牧业的监视情报.
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