气候变化和食草的相互作用效应可以触发欧洲温带森林的大规模转型
Laura Dobor1, Marco Baldo1, Lukáš Bílek1
1Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences in Prague, Prague 6, Suchdol, Czech Republic.
Global change biology
|February 22, 2024
概括
大型野生食草动物对欧洲森林产生影响,阻碍了对气候变化的适应. 减少草食动物促进了森林的弹性和稳定性,而高的浏览水平增加了干扰和变化.
科学领域:
- 森林生态森林生态学
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 生态系统动态生态系统动态
背景情况:
- 大型野生食草动物显著影响欧洲森林的组成和弹性.
- 森林,特别是那些由Picea abies主导的森林,面临着前所未有的干扰水平.
- 气候变化和草食相互作用,影响森林的适应能力.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究气候变化和食草对Picea abies占主导地位的森林的联合影响.
- 确定导致生态系统在300年时间范围内转型的条件.
- 评估不同浏览强度和气候情景对森林结构,组成和碳的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用了森林景观模型iLand.
- 模拟了八个气候变化场景 (RCP4.5和RCP8.5).
- 测试了三个级别的再生浏览强度.
主要成果:
- 持续的高浏览率阻碍了适应性社区转变,并维持了Picea abies,导致曲折的轨迹和高扰动.
- 减少草食促进了向宽叶物种的过渡,增加了森林碳,减少了干扰.
- 特定的气候和浏览组合 (RCP4.5与高/中等浏览) 在参考变化范围内保持了森林弹性.
结论:
- 树林对气候变化驱动的转型很容易受到影响.
- 减少草食可以稳定森林轨迹,而当前的浏览水平增加了干扰和变化.
- 生态系统的转变受到气候变化严重程度和草食压力的相互作用的影响.
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