化学度反抵消了森林的二氧化碳减排效益的三分之一
James Weber1, James A King1, Nathan Luke Abraham2,3
1Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation, School of Biosciences, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S10 2TN, UK.
概括
通过改变大气气体和降低表面反射率,为去除二氧化碳而植树可以使地球变暖. 这种气候影响抵消了一些碳排放的好处,特别是在不那么雄心勃勃的变暖目标下.
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 地球系统建模
- 大气化学
背景情况:
- 森林化是消除大气中的二氧化碳 (CO2) 的策略.
- 除了封存二氧化碳之外,植树对气候的影响,如大气组成和表面白度的变化,尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 评估全球森林扩张对气候的影响.
- 使用地球系统模型将这些影响与其他可信的气候未来进行比较.
主要方法:
- 利用两个地球系统模型模拟全球森林扩张情况.
- 将植树情景与其他可信的未来气候路径进行比较.
主要成果:
- 森林化增加了气溶散射和温室气体 (甲,臭氧) 由于增强的生物排放.
- 森林扩张造成的表面白度降低导致了正辐射强迫 (变暖).
- 这种变暖效应在4°C变暖的情况下抵消了高达33%的二氧化碳去除效益.
结论:
- 森林的气候效益因其对大气组成和表面白度的影响而部分减少.
- 森林植被的变暖效应在与积极的减排相结合时变得不那么明显,以达到"巴黎协定"的2°C目标.
- 为了有效缓解气候变化,加上森林种植等策略,迫切同时减少排放至关重要.
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