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相关概念视频

Cause and Effect01:53

Cause and Effect

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While variables are sometimes correlated because one does cause the other, it could also be that some other factor, a confounding variable, is actually causing the systematic movement in our variables of interest. For instance, as sales in ice cream increase, so does the overall rate of crime. Is it possible that indulging in your favorite flavor of ice cream could send you on a crime spree? Or, after committing crime do you think you might decide to treat yourself to a cone?
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Hindsight Biases01:12

Hindsight Biases

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Hindsight bias leads you to believe that the event you just experienced was predictable, even though it really wasn’t. In other words, you knew all along that things would turn out the way they did. Can you relate this to the phrase "Hindsight is 20/20" now? 
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Hypothesis: Accept or Fail to Reject?01:17

Hypothesis: Accept or Fail to Reject?

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The outcome of any hypothesis testing leads to rejecting or not rejecting the null hypothesis. This decision is taken based on the analysis of the data, an appropriate test statistic, an appropriate confidence level, the critical values, and P-values. However, when the evidence suggests that the null hypothesis cannot be rejected, is it right to say, 'Accept' the null hypothesis?
There are two ways to indicate that the null hypothesis is not rejected. 'Accept' the null...
27.8K
Confirmation Biases01:31

Confirmation Biases

5.5K
The confirmation bias is the tendency to focus on information that confirms our existing beliefs and ignore information that is inconsistent with our expectations. For example, if you think that your professor is not very nice, you notice all of the instances of rude behavior exhibited by the professor while ignoring the countless pleasant interactions he is involved in on a daily basis. Have you ever fallen prey to the confirmation bias, either as the source or target of such bias?
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Reason and Intuition01:37

Reason and Intuition

6.5K
The human brain processes information for decision-making using one of two routes: an intuitive system and a rational system (Epstein, 1994; popularized by Kahneman, 2011 as System 1 and System 2, respectively). The intuitive system is quick, impulsive, and operates with minimal effort, relying on emotions or habits to provide cues for what to do next, while the rational system is logical, analytical, deliberate, and methodical. Research in neuropsychology suggests that the...
6.5K
Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error01:10

Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error

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The atomic mass of an element varies due to the relative ratio of its isotopes. A sample's relative proportion of oxygen isotopes influences its average atomic mass. For instance, if we were to measure the atomic mass of oxygen from a sample, the mass would be a weighted average of the isotopic masses of oxygen in that sample. Since a single sample is not likely to perfectly reflect the true atomic mass of oxygen for all the molecules of oxygen on Earth, the mass we obtain from this...
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相关实验视频

Updated: Jul 2, 2025

Assessment of Mouse Judgment Bias through an Olfactory Digging Task
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Assessment of Mouse Judgment Bias through an Olfactory Digging Task

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贝叶斯主义和希望的想法是兼容的.

David E Melnikoff1, Nina Strohminger2,3

  • 1Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA. dmelnik@stanford.edu.

Nature human behaviour
|February 24, 2024
PubMed
概括
此摘要是机器生成的。

贝叶斯的认知原则与愿望的想法是相容的. 相反的目标通过贝叶斯计算,由情感预测错误驱动,从相同的证据中得出目标一致的结论.

更多相关视频

Dissociation of the Confounding Influences of Expectancy and Integrative Difficulty Residing in Anomalous Sentences in Event-related Potential Studies
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The Adventures of Fundi Intervention Based on the Cognitive and Emotional Processing in Attention Deficit Hyperactive Disorder Patients
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相关实验视频

Last Updated: Jul 2, 2025

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Assessment of Mouse Judgment Bias through an Olfactory Digging Task

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Dissociation of the Confounding Influences of Expectancy and Integrative Difficulty Residing in Anomalous Sentences in Event-related Potential Studies
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科学领域:

  • 认知科学 认知科学
  • 心理学 心理学 心理学
  • 决策 决策 决策 决策

背景情况:

  • 贝叶斯原则广泛应用于人类的认知.
  • 愿望思维,即信念与愿望一致,似乎与贝叶斯的普遍性相矛盾.
  • 这项研究调查了贝叶斯的最佳性和愿望的兼容性.

研究的目的:

  • 为了证明贝叶斯的最佳性和愿望思维是兼容的.
  • 解释如何使用贝叶斯推理,对立的目标可以从相同的证据中得出不同的结论.
  • 引入由情感预测错误驱动的愿望思维的正式贝叶斯模型.

主要方法:

  • 开发一个正式的贝叶斯模型.
  • 在五项研究中进行实证测试.
  • 分析情感经历如何为目标一致的结论提供信息.

主要成果:

  • 通过贝叶斯计算,相同的先前信念和证据可以在相反的目标下产生相反的结论.
  • 情感经历提供了特权,目标一致的信息.
  • 情感预测错误被证明是驱动愿望的想法.

结论:

  • 贝叶斯原则和愿望思维在正式的贝叶斯框架内是可以协调的.
  • 由情感介导的目标导向认知可以解释从贝叶斯理性看来明显的偏差.
  • 这些发现支持一种情绪以目标一致的方式影响信念更新的模型.