基于BLUP的繁殖值和其预测准确性的截断选择对反应的预测
1Graduate School of Agricultural Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.
Animal science journal = Nihon chikusan Gakkaiho
|February 24, 2024
概括
使用最佳线性无偏预测 (BLUP) 预测繁殖值 (BVs) 的选择反应可以准确地使用估计繁殖值 (EBVs) 的平均值 ( ) 或差异 () 实现. 这些方法可提供可靠的预测,在后代数据无法获得时,用于截断选择.
科学领域:
- 动物育种与遗传学
- 量化遗传学 量化遗传学
- 统计基因组学 统计基因组学
背景情况:
- 在动物繁殖计划中,精确预测选择反应至关重要.
- 最好的线性无偏预测 (BLUP) 是估计繁殖值 (BV) 的标准方法.
- 在没有后代数据的情况下,预测对截断选择的反应是一个挑战.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较使用BVs的BLUP预测截断选择的响应的三种方法.
- 在后代表型数据无法获得时评估预测准确性.
- 确定持续选择的最可靠的预测方法.
主要方法:
- 三种预测方法的比较:EBVs的平均值 (),EBVs的方差 (),以及反向混合模型矩阵的对角元素 ().
- 使用蒙特卡洛计算机模拟生成血统和表型数据.
- 将真正的选择反应定义为选择动物的平均BV与候选种群的平均BV的偏差.
主要成果:
- 基于EBV的平均值 () 的方法表现出最小的绝对平均误差.
- 使用EBVs变异率 ( ) 的方法证明了最小的根-平均-平方误差.
- 无论是还是都被认为是预测截断选择响应的理想选择.
结论:
- 建议使用EBV的平均值 () 或方差 () 的方法来通过BLUP预测截断选择反应.
- 在正在进行的选择种群中,分布扭曲和布尔默效应可能会影响的预测准确性.
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