通过机器学习建模集成可再生能源:一个系统的文献审查
Talal Alazemi1, Mohamed Darwish1, Mohammed Radi2
1Brunel University London Kingston Lane Uxbridge, Middlesex, UB8 3PH, United Kingdom.
Heliyon
|February 26, 2024
概括
预测可再生能源 (RES) 对电网稳定性至关重要. 机器学习,特别是深度人工神经网络和合体方法,为预测可再生能源发电量提供了卓越的解决方案.
科学领域:
- 电气工程 电气工程
- 计算机科学 计算机科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 可再生能源 (RES) 的整合,由于它们的随机性质,给电网稳定性带来了挑战.
- 传统的预测模型 (物理,统计) 在准确性和计算效率方面存在局限性.
- 机器学习 (ML) 为分析复杂的可再生能源数据提供了强大的数据驱动工具.
研究的目的:
- 对基于ML的方法进行系统的文献审查,以预测可再生能源的发电量.
- 确定最有效的ML技术来管理RES的不确定性.
- 讨论将可再生能源预测纳入电网管理和未来研究方向的整合.
主要方法:
- 对基于机器学习的可再生能源预测方法的系统文献综述.
- 分析深层人工神经网络 (例如,LSTM) 和整体策略.
- 与传统预测模型相比,ML性能的评估.
主要成果:
- 深层人工神经网络,特别是长期短期记忆 (LSTM) 网络,擅长模拟可再生能源发电量的自回归性质.
- 集成策略有效地处理大型,波动的可再生能源数据集.
- 基于机器学习的预测在准确性和效率方面优于传统方法.
结论:
- LSTM网络和集体方法非常适合准确预测可再生能源输出功率.
- 通过ML有效地管理RES不确定性对于电网集成至关重要.
- 未来的研究应该集中在将ML预测纳入运营电网决策中.
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