固体废物产生预测模型框架使用社会经济和人口因素与实时MSW数据收集数据
Laurie Fontaine1, Robert Legros1, Jean-Marc Frayret2
1Department of Chemical Engineering, Polytechnique Montreal, Montreal, Canada.
概括
这项研究引入了一个用于预测终生产品流量的预测建模的框架. 它通过分析废物产生和组成,帮助市政当局制定有效的废物管理策略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 计算机科学 计算机科学
- 运营研究 运营研究
背景情况:
- 有效的废物管理策略需要准确预测退役产品的流量.
- 数据的可用性和质量对预测废物模型的开发产生重大影响.
- 现有的模型可能无法充分解决源材料异质性和不同的数据场景.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个灵活的框架,用于开发终生产品流量的预测模型.
- 以指导数据分析和平衡模型复杂性与开发时间.
- 为了能够准确地预测废物流的数量和质量,以便进行知情的市政规划.
主要方法:
- 开发一个适应异质源材料和数据可用性的框架.
- 在地理信息系统 (GIS) 环境中应用基于代理的模拟模型.
- 使用社会经济,人口统计和收集数据对城市固体废物产生进行建模.
主要成果:
- 加蒂诺的一个案例研究表明了该框架的适用性.
- 这些模型准确地预测了城市固体废物产生,数量和质量.
- 该框架成功地适应了带有和没有射频识别 (RFID) 芯片的场景.
结论:
- 拟议的框架为建模退役产品流程提供了一个强有力的方法.
- 准确的废物流预测支持更好的废物管理环境影响评估.
- 该方法促进了城市废物管理策略的数据驱动决策.
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