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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
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一个基于系统动态模拟的综合水资源利用和管理的战略分析在深市
Guangzhi Zheng1, Jing-Cheng Han2, Ping Li3
1Water Research Center, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, 518055, China.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|February 27, 2024
概括
深因需求高而面临水资源短缺问题. 优先考虑水资源保护和海水利用是可持续城市水资源管理的关键策略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 系统工程 系统工程
背景情况:
- 深快速的城市发展加剧了水资源管理的挑战.
- 升的水需求与有限的供应冲突,威胁到城市的发展.
研究的目的:
- 探索深城市水资源系统中的相互连接.
- 确定关键因素并评估水资源的利用场景.
- 为可持续的水资源管理提出有效的战略.
主要方法:
- 基于因果循环图的系统动态 (SD) 模型的开发.
- 从2021年到2035年,模拟深的供水和需求情况.
- 分析敏感因素和多种水资源利用场景.
主要成果:
- 水资源短缺被认为是深发展的一个重大障碍.
- 关键战略包括加强水资源保护,开发海水资源,促进水的再利用,优化经济结构和管理人口增长.
- 节水和利用海水是最具影响力的战略.
结论:
- 实施节水,利用海水,再利用水,经济优化和人口管理的组合至关重要.
- 优先考虑节水和最大限度地利用海水提供了最有效的解决方案.
- 调查结果为类似地区的水资源分配和可持续管理战略提供了洞察力.
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