人口老龄化对外国直接投资的影响:基于中国制造业27个部门的数据分析小组
Yujie Li1, Tingwei Chen1, Zongbin Zhang1
1School of Economics, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, China.
PloS one
|February 28, 2024
概括
中国人口老龄化对制造业的外国直接投资产生了负面影响. 人口老龄化减少了劳动力和增加了成本,特别影响了劳动密集型和资本密集型行业.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 人口统计数据 人口统计数据
- 国际商业 国际商业 国际商业
背景情况:
- 中国的"双周期"发展模式强调了外国直接投资 (FDI).
- 人口老龄化对重要外国直接投资部门制造业的影响需要调查.
研究的目的:
- 研究人口老龄化对中国制造业外商直接和间接的影响.
- 确定人口老龄化对外国直接投资的介导变量和特定行业的影响.
主要方法:
- 对中国27个制造业子行业 (2005-2020年) 的数据分析.
- 研究了直接影响,通过劳动力数量和成本的间接影响,以及各行业类型的异质性.
主要成果:
- 人口老龄化对外国直接投资的流入产生负面影响,这得到了强度测试的证实.
- 老龄化通过减少劳动力数量和增加劳动力成本来间接减少外国直接投资.
- 劳动密集型和资本密集型制造业的外国直接投资受到显著抑制;技术密集型行业没有显著影响.
结论:
- 人口老龄化对中国制造业的外国直接投资构成了重大挑战.
- 需要采取政策干预措施,以减轻人口老龄化对外国直接投资和制造业的负面影响.
- 调查结果提供了中级证据和政策见解,用于在经济背景下管理人口老龄化.
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