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气候变化是孟加拉国和加纳移民的一个隐蔽驱动因素
Sara Fernández1, Guadalupe Arce2, Ángela García-Alaminos3
1Department of Applied & Structural Economics & History, Faculty of Economics and Business, Complutense University of Madrid, Campus de Somosaguas, 28223, Pozuelo de Alarcón, Madrid, Spain.
The Science of the total environment
|February 28, 2024
概括
气候变化引起的环境压力大大推动了三角洲地区的移民,影响了经济安全和粮食供应. 这些因素间接地影响移民决策,即使受影响的人口并不认为是直接原因.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 发展中国家的三角洲地区对自然灾害非常脆弱,气候变化加剧了这种情况.
- 气候变化增加了极端事件的频率和强度,威胁到三角洲的社会经济发展,并可能引发移民.
- 了解气候变化,环境影响,社会经济因素和移民之间的相互作用对于适应规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析环境影响在两个三角洲地区 (孟加拉国和加纳) 影响个人移民决策的程度.
- 研究气候变化,环境退化和移民模式之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 利用了移民调查中的数据.
- 采用计量经济学技术来分析移民驱动因素.
主要成果:
- 对经济安全产生负面影响的气候冲击是孟加拉国和加纳的重要移民驱动因素.
- 对粮食安全和农业生产的环境影响在加纳显著推动了移民,但不是孟加拉国.
- 环境压力可以加剧或减少社会经济驱动因素对移民决策的影响.
结论:
- 气候变化和环境压力是移民的间接驱动因素,通过经济安全和社会经济因素影响决策.
- 移民决策是复杂的,受直接环境冲击和它们对个人环境的间接影响的影响.
- 适应策略必须考虑环境因素在移民中的多方面的作用,即使受影响的人口没有明确承认这一点.
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