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1990年至2019年间的全球急性肝炎E负担和到2030年的预测
Guoqing Ouyang1,2,3, Guangdong Pan1,2, Qiuyun Li1,2
1Department of General Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China.
概括
自1990年以来,全球肝炎E负担增加了19%,南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲的发病率上升. 未来的趋势预测,乙型肝炎病毒 (HEV) 感染率将继续增加.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染性疾病 传染性疾病
背景情况:
- 急性肝炎E (AHE) 仍然是一个重要的全球公共卫生问题.
- 了解其负担对于有效的控制策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析从1990年到2019年的全球AHE负担.
- 预测到2030年AHE的未来趋势.
- 根据年龄,性别和社会人口指数 (SDI) 检查AHE负担.
主要方法:
- 利用了2019年全球疾病,伤害和风险因素负担研究的数据.
- 员工结合点分析和年平均百分比变化 (AAPC) 来评估趋势.
- 分析了事件病例,患病率和因残疾而调整的寿命年 (DALY).
主要成果:
- 在全球范围内,2019年报告了1947万起AHE事件,比1990年增加了19%.
- 发生率,流行率和DALY的年龄标准化率 (ASR) 整体下降,但在撒哈拉以南非洲增加.
- 南亚地区的HEV感染发病率和流行率在男女中呈现出最高的ASR.
结论:
- 尽管整体ASR下降,但AHE负担被低估了.
- 研究结果强调了有针对性的公共卫生干预措施的必要性.
- 该研究提供了数据,以告知决策者制定减少AHE的战略.
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